AGI & SuperintelligenceIncorrect
“We're headed toward a situation where AI is vastly smarter than humans, and I think that time frame is less than five years from now. But that doesn't mean that everything goes to hell in five years. It just means that things get unstable or weird.”
Said Jul 25, 2020Deadline Jul 25, 2025New York Times, Maureen Dowd interview, 'Elon Musk, Blasting Off in Domestic Bliss,' July 25, 2020
By July 2025 no AI system was 'vastly smarter than humans': frontier models remained below human experts on many reasoning, agentic and real-world tasks, and Musk himself had by then pushed his superintelligence date out to 2025–2026 and beyond.