“Within 10 years it will be 'unusual' for cars to be manufactured that are not fully autonomous; the disruption of car-based transportation will take place over the next 20 years.”
Deadline is early 2027; as of 2026 the overwhelming majority of new vehicles manufactured worldwide are not fully autonomous, with only limited driverless fleets (Waymo, Zoox, Tesla's supervised robotaxi pilots) on the road.