Safety & RiskIncorrect
“The pace of progress in artificial intelligence is incredibly fast... The risk of something seriously dangerous happening is in the five year timeframe. 10 years at most.”
Said Nov 17, 2014Deadline Nov 17, 2024Comment on Edge.org (since deleted), reported by CNBC, November 17, 2014
Both the five-year (2019) and the ten-year outer bound (November 2024) passed with no catastrophic AI event of the kind Musk described; the phrasing was hedged ('the risk of something seriously dangerous'), but no reasonable reading of that threshold was met by the deadline.