AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

Safety & RiskPartially correct
“AI will negatively impact the 2024 Presidential Election. Intentionally misleading content will be released to interfere with the election (e.g., deepfakes).”

Managing Partner, Deepwater Asset Management (Deepwater's 2024 Tech Predictions)

AI-generated deepfakes and misleading political content did circulate during the 2024 campaign (e.g., the fake Biden robocall in New Hampshire), but post-election assessments from the Brennan Center, TIME and the Washington Post concluded AI did not meaningfully disrupt or sway the election, making the 'negative impact' far smaller than predicted.