AGI & SuperintelligenceIncorrect
“Within a generation, I am convinced, few compartments of intellect will remain outside the machine's realm — the problems of creating 'artificial intelligence' will be substantially solved.”
Head of the MIT Artificial Intelligence Laboratory; author of 'Computation: Finite and Infinite Machines'
Said 1967Deadline Dec 31, 1997Marvin Minsky, 'Computation: Finite and Infinite Machines' (Prentice-Hall, 1967), p. 2; quoted in MIT Technology Review, 'Mens et Apparata' (April 23, 2014)
A generation on, AI was nowhere near solved: the field had passed through two AI winters, and the best systems of the 1990s were narrow (Deep Blue's 1997 chess win being the showcase). Minsky himself conceded by 1982 that 'the AI problem is one of the hardest science has ever undertaken.'