AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“We want to set us an ambitious goal of solving alignment of superintelligence within the next four years. So, by mid-2027.”

Then Head of Alignment and co-lead of the Superalignment team at OpenAI (later Head of Alignment at Anthropic)

Deadline is mid-2027. Context: OpenAI disbanded the Superalignment team in May 2024 after Leike and Ilya Sutskever resigned, with Leike saying safety had taken a back seat; the 20%-compute commitment was reportedly not honored.