AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“By the end of this decade, as we go into the 2030s, we're going to achieve a new milestone. It's called longevity escape velocity... Right now you go through a year and you use up a year of your longevity. However, scientific progress is also progressing... So right now you're getting back about four months... And as we get to the early 2030s, let's say between 2029 and 2035, depending on how diligent you are, you're going to get back a full year.”

Inventor, futurist and author; Principal Researcher and AI Visionary at Google

Resolves on whether, by 2035, medical/AI-driven progress adds at least a full year of remaining life expectancy per year lived for a diligent individual; Kurzweil elsewhere gives 2029 as his earlier bound for the same milestone.