AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“A $1,000 unit of computation has the computing capacity of approximately one thousand human brains.”

Inventor and futurist, author of The Age of Spiritual Machines

Dollar figures are in 1999 dollars; Kurzweil's own benchmark for one human brain is ~2×10^16 calculations per second, so this requires ~2×10^19 cps for $1,000.