AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“There are prevalent reports of computers passing the Turing test, although these tests do not meet the criteria established by knowledgeable observers.”

Inventor and futurist, author of The Age of Spiritual Machines

Widely publicized claims of machines passing the Turing test did appear well before 2019 — most prominently the 'Eugene Goostman' chatbot in 2014 — and in each case AI researchers rejected the test conditions as failing serious criteria, exactly the pattern Kurzweil described.