AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“You've got to start with overall productivity. Artificial intelligence, today's form, is going to generate $4 trillion of annual productivity before the end of the decade. That is incredible economic competitiveness for companies and nations.”

Chairman and CEO, IBM

Resolves against estimates of annual global productivity/output gains attributable to generative AI by the end of 2029; Krishna has repeated the $4 trillion figure since (e.g. SXSW 2025), while other houses have since published higher ranges.