AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“My prediction: By 2026, Google's main product will not be search but AI.”

Founding executive editor of Wired; author of The Inevitable

Deadline runs to the end of 2026. Search advertising still supplies the large majority of Alphabet's revenue, though Google reframed Search around AI Mode at I/O 2026, so resolution will hinge on how 'main product' is judged.