“AGI is still a decade away. My AI timelines are about 5-10X pessimistic w.r.t. what you'll find in your neighborhood SF AI house party or on your twitter timeline, but still quite optimistic w.r.t. a rising tide of AI deniers and skeptics.”
Founding member of OpenAI; former Senior Director of AI at Tesla; founder of Eureka Labs
Said Oct 18, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2035X (@karpathy), 18 October 2025 — follow-up notes to the Dwarkesh Podcast episode 'Andrej Karpathy — AGI is still a decade away' (17 October 2025)
Horizon runs to roughly 2035; Karpathy's bar is an AI you can delegate to like an employee.