“"Chauffeurs, truck drivers, anyone who does driving for a living — their jobs will be disrupted more in the 15-to-20-year time frame. And many jobs that seem a little bit complex — chef, waiter — a lot of things will become automated... all together in 15 years, that's going to displace about 40 percent of the jobs in the world." (Asked if 40% of jobs will be displaced, Lee clarified: "I would say displaceable.")”
Chairman & CEO of Sinovation Ventures; author of AI Superpowers; former President of Google China
Said Jan 13, 2019Deadline Dec 31, 2034CBS News, 60 Minutes, "Facial and emotional recognition; how one man is advancing artificial intelligence" (Scott Pelley report), aired January 13, 2019
Resolves at end-2034 on whether AI is technically capable of displacing roughly 40% of global jobs; note Lee's separate, earlier prediction that AI would displace 50% of jobs by 2027 is tracked separately (kaifulee-2024-fifty-percent-jobs-2027).