AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“With such strong demand for our existing offerings and seminal opportunities like AI, chips, robotics, low earth orbit satellites, we expect to invest about $200 billion in capital expenditures across Amazon in 2026, and anticipate strong long-term return on invested capital.”

CEO, Amazon

Context: Amazon's 2025 capex was roughly $131 billion; the $200 billion plan was already raised to about $220 billion in July 2026, so the figure will likely be exceeded, but it resolves on full-year 2026 results.