AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

Energy & Data CentersPartially correct
“We spent $26.3 billion in capex in Q4, and I think that is reasonably representative of what you expect an annualized capex rate in 2025 [i.e. roughly $100 billion]. The vast majority of that capex spend is on AI for AWS.”

CEO, Amazon

Said Feb 6, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2025Amazon Q4 2024 earnings call, February 6, 2025 (reported by CNBC)

Amazon did blow past $100 billion, but the run-rate forecast badly understated the ramp: guidance was lifted to ~$125 billion in October 2025 and full-year 2025 capex finished at about $131.8 billion, roughly a third above the February figure.