“My estimate is sort of 50% chance [of AGI] in the next five years, so by 2030 let's say. So I think there's a good chance that that could happen. [AGI defined as a system consistently matching the full range of human cognitive capabilities.]”
CEO of Google DeepMind; Nobel laureate in Chemistry, 2024
Said Jul 23, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2030Lex Fridman Podcast #475, 'Demis Hassabis: Future of AI, Simulating Reality, Physics and Video Games,' July 23, 2025
A probability-weighted restatement (50% by 2030) of Hassabis's AGI timeline; resolves on whether a system matching the full range of human cognitive capabilities exists by end-2030.