AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

CapabilitiesPartially correct
“We are accelerating our innovation roadmap to ensure we are on a clear path to process performance leadership by 2025: five nodes in four years — Intel 7, Intel 4, Intel 3, Intel 20A and Intel 18A — restoring process performance-per-watt parity in 2024 and leadership in 2025.”

CEO of Intel

Intel delivered Intel 7, Intel 4, Intel 3 and Intel 18A, but cancelled high-volume manufacturing of Intel 20A in September 2024, and 18A only reached high-volume production at Fab 52 in late 2025 with the first Panther Lake SKU shipping at year-end and broad availability in January 2026. The underlying goal of process performance-per-watt parity in 2024 and unquestioned leadership in 2025 was not achieved.