AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“I think by 2030, maybe even sooner, we will have more than one billion software developers on GitHub. Think about that: 10 percent of the world's population will not only control a computer but will also be able to create software just as if they were riding a bicycle.”

Then-CEO of GitHub (Microsoft)

Resolvable against GitHub's own reported user counts at the end of 2030; GitHub had roughly 100 million developers when the prediction was made. Dohmke stepped down as GitHub CEO in 2025.