“One of Anthropic's internal economic models forecasts that AI could vastly expand US economic output to $44 trillion by 2030, up from just over $30 trillion today: the number "sounds very outlandish" but "it's implicated by the technology continuing to get better."”
Said Oct 17, 2026Deadline Dec 31, 2030Reuters, IMF and World Bank annual meetings, Bangkok, October 17, 2026
Resolvable against BEA nominal US GDP for 2030; the $44 trillion figure corresponds to the top-end scenario of Anthropic's economic modelling rather than a central forecast, and Clark himself conceded it sounds outlandish.