“My end-of-the-world bet with @ESYudkowsky is now in its NINTH year. I WILL win on January 1, 2030. Disagree? I'll bet anyone with a public reputation at 10:1. How CAN you bet on the end of the world? Simple: The optimist prepays the pessimist.”
Professor of Economics, George Mason University
Restates Caplan's side of the January 2017 bet in which he prepaid Eliezer Yudkowsky $100 for $200 CPI-adjusted if the world has not been ended by nonaligned AI before 12:00am GMT on 1 January 2030.