“No AI will be able to get A's on 5 out of 6 of my [labor economics] exams by January of 2029. (By January 30, 2029, an AI selected by Matthew Barnett takes Caplan's six most recent midterms, graded on his students' scale, with an A- counting as an A; $500 at stake.)”
Professor of Economics, George Mason University; author of the 'Bet On It' Substack
Still open until January 30, 2029; Caplan publicly wobbled in March/April 2023 after GPT-4 scored 73/100 (an A) on one of his midterms, writing that he was not conceding but gave himself only a 10–15% chance of winning.