“Here is a CEO of a humanoid robot company saying that they will be in 10% of US households by 2030. Absolutely no technology (even without the problems above) has ever come close to scaling at that rate. The declarations being made about humanoid robots are just not plausible.”
Panasonic Professor of Robotics (emeritus), MIT; CTO and co-founder of Robust AI
Said Jan 1, 2026Deadline Dec 31, 2030Rodney Brooks, 'Predictions Scorecard, 2026 January 01', rodneybrooks.com, January 1, 2026
Resolves against Brooks only if humanoid robots are in roughly 10% of US households (on the order of 13 million homes) by the end of 2030.