“In my original predictions I said that electric car (and I meant battery electric, not hybrids) sales would reach 30% of the US total no earlier than 2027. A bunch of people on twitter claimed I was a pessimist. Now it looks like I was an extreme optimist as it is going to take a real growth spurt to reach even 10% in 2026, i.e., earlier than 2027.”
Panasonic Professor of Robotics (emeritus), MIT; CTO and co-founder of Robust AI
Said Jan 1, 2026Deadline Dec 31, 2026Rodney Brooks, 'Predictions Scorecard, 2026 January 01', rodneybrooks.com, January 1, 2026
Resolves on full-year 2026 US battery-electric share of new vehicle sales, which Brooks tracks quarterly in the scorecard; the 2026 figure is not yet final.