“The 'next big thing' in AI, beyond deep learning, will show up no earlier than 2023, but certainly by 2027 — and someone is already working on it, with the key papers most likely already published.”
Panasonic Professor of Robotics (emeritus), MIT; co-founder of iRobot and Rethink Robotics; CTO and co-founder of Robust AI
Said Jan 1, 2018Deadline Dec 31, 2027Rodney Brooks, 'My Dated Predictions', rodneybrooks.com, January 1, 2018 (restated in 'Predictions Scorecard, 2024 January 01')
The 'BY 2027' window is still open, but Brooks scored this as correct in his 2024 and later scorecards: LLMs were generally accepted as the next big thing in 2023, and the key paper ('Attention Is All You Need', June 2017) predated his prediction.