AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“A conversational agent that both carries long term context, and does not easily fall into recognizable and repeated patterns. Lab demo: NET 2023. Deployed systems: 2025. (Deployment platforms already exist — e.g., Google Home and Amazon Echo — so it will be a fast track from lab demo to wide spread deployment.)”

Roboticist; MIT Panasonic Professor of Robotics (emeritus); co-founder of iRobot and Rethink Robotics; co-founder and CTO of Robust.AI

Large language model assistants with long context windows and persistent memory were demonstrated from 2023 and widely deployed by 2025, matching the timeline he set; Brooks himself says he was 'lucky on that date' for LLMs becoming the next big thing in 2023, while continuing to argue their outputs cannot be trusted.