“The median estimate rises to a nine in ten chance that high-level machine intelligence will have been developed by 2075.”
Philosopher and Director, Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford; co-author with Vincent C. Müller of 'Future Progress in Artificial Intelligence: A Survey of Expert Opinion'
Said 2014Deadline Dec 31, 2075Vincent C. Müller & Nick Bostrom, 'Future Progress in Artificial Intelligence: A Survey of Expert Opinion' (2014)
The median respondent date for a 90% probability of HLMI was 2075.