AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“OpenAI is "not quite yet" at AGI, but by the end of the year [2026] the company will have an internal system I would call AGI. [OpenAI's charter defines AGI as "highly autonomous systems that outperform humans at most economically valuable work."]”

CEO of OpenAI

Said Aug 26, 2026Deadline Dec 31, 2026TIME, "Inside OpenAI's Reboot" by Alex Heath, August 26, 2026

Deadline is end of 2026. OpenAI's forthcoming Astra model family is the basis for the confidence; chief research officer Mark Chen separately estimated the company is "80% of the way" to AGI, and Greg Brockman suggested this period may later be remembered as when AGI was created. Resolution will hinge on OpenAI's own internal, unverified definition rather than any external benchmark.