AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“2026 will likely see the arrival of systems that can figure out novel insights.”

CEO of OpenAI

Said Jun 10, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2026Sam Altman personal blog, 'The Gentle Singularity', 10 June 2025

Deadline is end of 2026 and still open; OpenAI announced in September 2026 that it had reached its internal 'automated research intern' milestone, but independent evidence of AI systems producing genuinely novel insights remains contested.