AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“I would certainly say by the end of this decade, so, by 2030, if we don't have models that are extraordinarily capable and do things that we ourselves cannot do, I'd be very surprised.”

CEO of OpenAI

Altman gave the remark while in Berlin for the 2025 Axel Springer Award; he also said AI would take over 30–40% of today's economic tasks. Resolves at the end of 2030.