AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“The world will not change all at once; it never does. Life will go on mostly the same in the short run, and people in 2025 will mostly spend their time in the same way they did in 2024. We will still fall in love, create families, get in fights online, hike in nature, etc.”

CEO of OpenAI

Said Feb 9, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2025Three Observations, blog.samaltman.com, February 9, 2025

Despite rapid model progress and surging chatbot adoption in 2025, daily life, time use and employment patterns did not visibly shift at the population level during the year, matching Altman's deliberately modest short-run claim.