AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“In the next five years, computer programs that can think will read legal documents and give medical advice.”

CEO, OpenAI

Said Mar 16, 2021Deadline Mar 16, 2026Sam Altman, "Moore's Law for Everything," March 16, 2021

By 2026 LLM-based tools (Harvey, Thomson Reuters CoCounsel and similar) are in mainstream use for contract analysis and document review at large law firms, and hundreds of millions of people consult ChatGPT weekly for health questions while clinicians widely use tools like OpenEvidence. Both halves of the claim were met within five years, though such advice remains error-prone and non-authoritative.