“Now, all of us forecast that Superhuman AI Researcher (SAR) will likely arrive at some point in 2027 (assuming no substantial deliberate slowdown). We also predict a 35-65% chance that Top-Expert-Dominating AI (TED-AI), AIs that can automate all white-collar work, will arrive before 2028.”
AI forecasting research organization, authors of the AI 2027 scenario
Said Nov 10, 2026Deadline Dec 31, 2027AI Futures Project, 'Q3.5 Timelines Update: Looks Like the Intelligence Explosion Will Happen in 2027 After All', November 10, 2026
Group forecast of the six AI Futures Project forecasters, whose individual SAR medians range from May 2027 (Kokotajlo) to November 2027.