AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

CapabilitiesIncorrect
“In 2025, I expect... Llama 4 will become the leading state of the art model, and we'll build an AI engineer that will start contributing increasing amounts of code to our R&D efforts.”

Founder and CEO, Meta Platforms

Said Jan 24, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2025Mark Zuckerberg Facebook/Threads post, January 24, 2025

Llama 4 shipped in April 2025 but was not state of the art: it drew a benchmark-submission controversy, the flagship Behemoth was pushed back and then reportedly shelved for weak internal performance, and Meta pivoted to a new superintelligence lab reportedly considering closed models. AI-written code did grow at Meta, but the central prediction failed.