CapabilitiesIncorrect
“Registered wager, 9 February 2016: Yudkowsky stakes $67 against a counterparty's $100 that AlphaGo will not beat Lee Sedol in their March 2016 match — odds implying he gave AlphaGo under a 60% chance of winning.”
Co-founder and Research Fellow, Machine Intelligence Research Institute
Said Feb 9, 2016Deadline Mar 15, 2016Daniel Filan, 'Bets' (public bet record, 9 February 2016); same 67:100 odds logged on PredictionBook, February 2016
AlphaGo beat Lee Sedol 4–1 in Seoul, 9–15 March 2016, so Yudkowsky lost the wager; he later said he had bet with the superforecasters on this question and updated afterwards.