AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“The market value of disruptive innovation platforms could scale 40% at an annual rate during this business cycle, from $13 trillion today to $200 trillion by 2030 — catalyzed by breakthroughs in artificial intelligence, disruptive innovation could account for the majority of global equity market capitalization.”

Founder, CEO and CIO of ARK Invest

Said Jan 31, 2023Deadline Dec 31, 2030ARK Invest Big Ideas 2023; CNBC 'Squawk Box', February 1, 2023

Resolves at the end of 2030; ARK restated the same idea in Big Ideas 2024 as ~$19 trillion growing to roughly $220 trillion by 2030.