“On AI's default trajectory — what happens if current trends just keep going — by 2030 growth doubles (2% → 4%), with major AI-led scientific breakthroughs.”
Said Sep 8, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2030Jaime Sevilla on X, Sept 8, 2025 (summarizing the Epoch After Hours episode 'Forecasting AI progress until 2040')
Resolves against world real GDP growth around 2030; global growth was running near 3% when the forecast was made.