“There are still significant gaps to close, but I believe it is plausible that an AGI system could be built in as little as three years — 'highly autonomous systems that outperform humans at most economically valuable work.' No one knows how to ensure that AGI systems will be safe and controlled.”
Former member of technical staff, OpenAI Superalignment team
Said Sep 17, 2024Deadline Sep 17, 2027Written and oral testimony, U.S. Senate Judiciary Subcommittee on Privacy, Technology, and the Law hearing 'Oversight of AI: Insiders' Perspectives', September 17, 2024
Deadline is September 2027. Saunders cited the then-new o1 model surpassing human experts on some technical benchmarks as evidence for the short timeline; resolution will turn on whether a system meeting OpenAI's own AGI definition exists by then.