AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“[On 2026 US real GDP growth:] I'm going to go for 5%. Within a rounding here, I believe 5%. [Sacks attributed the 'Trump boom' to AI-driven productivity gains, tax cuts and deregulation.]”

White House Special Adviser for AI and Crypto; co-founder, Craft Ventures; co-host, All-In Podcast

Said Jan 10, 2026Deadline Dec 31, 2026All-In Podcast, "All-In's 2026 Predictions," January 10, 2026

Resolves on full-year 2026 US real GDP. So far it is tracking well below 5%: BEA reported real GDP growth of 2.1% (annual rate) in Q1 2026 and 1.5% in Q2 2026.