AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“My AGI timeline has 'shrunk a bit' — AGI could potentially arrive within 10 years, although I still think that is 'pretty unlikely.'”

Professor of Computer Science, UC Berkeley; director, Center for Human-Compatible AI; co-author of 'Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach'

Russell said ChatGPT's advances exceeded his expectations and shortened his timeline, while maintaining that further scaling alone is unlikely to produce AGI.