AGI & SuperintelligenceCorrect
“In 2008 I bet $10k against Anna Salamon's $100 that AI would not pass the Turing test by 2018. I was pretty dead certain it couldn't happen that soon. In fact, we agreed on a strict version of the Turing test that even now, AI can't pass.”
Said 2008Deadline Dec 31, 2018AGI Friday, 'AI 2027 and Predictions Going Back to 2008', September 29, 2025 (wager documented at doc.dreev.es/turingbet)
No system passed the strict Turing test the two agreed on by the end of 2018 — Reeves notes that as of 2025 AI still cannot pass it — so Reeves won the wager.