AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

Jobs & EconomyPartially correct
“For full year 2025, we expect: Revenue of between $3.741 – $3.757 billion [31% year-over-year growth]. U.S. commercial revenue in excess of $1.079 billion, representing a growth rate of at least 54%... GAAP operating income and net income in each quarter of this year.”

Q4 2024 earnings press release, initial full-year 2025 outlook

Guidance proved far too conservative: FY2025 revenue was $4.475 billion (56% growth, well above the $3.741–3.757B range), US commercial revenue roughly $1.45 billion (Q4 alone grew 137%), and Palantir stayed GAAP profitable every quarter.