AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“I don't expect AI systems will be as smart as humans in all ways by 2028 — 'but I don't think it's absolutely necessary... you don't need to be as smart as people in all their ways in order to be very transformative.' The fully automated, multi-agent AI researcher OpenAI plans to have by 2028 will nonetheless tackle problems that are too large or complex for humans to cope with.”

Chief Scientist, OpenAI

Said Mar 20, 2026Deadline Dec 31, 2028MIT Technology Review exclusive interview, March 20, 2026

Stated alongside OpenAI's two-stage plan — an intern-level autonomous AI research assistant by September 2026 and a fully automated multi-agent AI researcher by 2028; resolves at the end of 2028.