“My P(Doom) is fifty percent — humanity has roughly a 50/50 chance of getting through the transition to superintelligent AI, and less than 1,000 days to get our act together.”

Emad MostaqueCEO

Founder of Intelligent Internet; co-founder and former CEO of Stability AI

An open-ended probability estimate; the accompanying 'less than 1,000 days' framing points at roughly 2028-2029 as the decision window.