AGI & SuperintelligenceCorrect
“We will not see artificial general intelligence this year [2025], despite claims by Elon Musk to the contrary. (People will also continue to play games to weaken the definition or even try to define it in financial rather than scientific terms.)”
Cognitive scientist, Professor Emeritus of Psychology and Neural Science at NYU
Said Jan 1, 2025Deadline Dec 31, 2025Marcus on AI (Substack), '25 AI Predictions for 2025', 1 January 2025 (also posted on X the same day)
No AGI arrived in 2025; independent year-end gradings of dated 2025 AI predictions scored this one correct, and by late 2025 even prominent optimists were pushing AGI timelines out by years.