AGI & SuperintelligenceCorrect
“Dear @elonmusk, $1 million says your latest prediction – that AI will be smarter than any individual human by the end of 2025 – is wrong. Game?”
Cognitive scientist, Professor Emeritus of Psychology and Neural Science at NYU, author of 'Taming Silicon Valley'
No AI system exceeded the best individual humans across intellectual work by the end of 2025; even Marcus's more general 'we will not see AGI in 2025' prediction was graded correct by third-party reviewers. Musk never accepted the bet (which was raised to $10M by investor Damion Hankejh) despite press inquiries.