“METR estimates nearly 2x acceleration in Anthropic's progress due to AI. That's a big deal: My previous median for Superhuman AI Researcher was ~2030, now it's 2027. I feel very worried that humanity might no longer be in control of our future within 3-12 months.”

Lifland's own median in the accompanying AI Futures Project update is August 2027 for a Superhuman AI Researcher; the forecast window runs through 2027.