“Asked by what year he would assign a 10%/50%/90% chance of the development of human-level machine intelligence, assuming no global catastrophe halts progress: 2018, 2028, 2050.”

Shane LeggResearcher

Co-founder, DeepMind Technologies; author of the PhD thesis 'Machine Super Intelligence'

The 10% milestone year (2018) passed without human-level machine intelligence by most definitions, but the forecast's 50% (2028) and 90% (2050) points remain open.