“Before we get all those things to work together, and then on top of this, have systems that can learn hierarchical planning, hierarchical representations, systems that can be configured for a lot of different situations at hand, the way the human brain can, all of this is going to take at least a decade and probably much more... So it's not just around the corner.”
Said Mar 7, 2024Deadline Mar 7, 2034Lex Fridman Podcast #416 – Yann LeCun: Meta AI, Open Source, Limits of LLMs, AGI & the Future of AI (Mar 7, 2024), transcript ~02:04:35
A lower-bound claim: human-level AI arrives no sooner than ~2034. It is falsified only if a system with human-level, configurable, hierarchically-planning intelligence appears before then.