AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“For calendar year 2026, we expect to invest roughly $190 billion in capital expenditures which includes approximately $25 billion from the impact of higher component pricing.”

Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Microsoft

Said Apr 29, 2026Deadline Dec 31, 2026Microsoft FY2026 Q3 earnings conference call, April 29, 2026

Guidance covers calendar year 2026 (versus roughly $118 billion in calendar 2025). On the July 2026 FY26 Q4 call Hood trimmed the calendar-2026 expectation to about $175 billion, attributing the change to a useful-life accounting update that shifts more data center leases from finance to operating leases rather than to any cut in underlying investment.