AI Prediction Index

One prediction, on the record

“AI will outstrip the world's best mathematicians within a decade — mathematics is a closed system, like chess and Go, where models can generate their own conjectures, test them, learn from failures and compound endlessly without much more data.”

Professor Emeritus, University of Toronto; 2024 Nobel laureate in Physics; Turing Award laureate

Deadline is 2036; Hinton made the remark shortly after an AI system proved an Erdős theorem, which he cited as evidence for the closed-system argument.